BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 02:00 on Saturday, December 21, 2024
Category | 2023 Raw | 2024 Raw | 2024 Blended (Δ) |
---|---|---|---|
Points Per Game (PPG) | 26.70 | 26.76 | 26.76 (+0.00) |
Yards Per Game (YPG) | 379.93 | 377.68 | 377.68 (+0.00) |
Yards Per Play (YPP) | 5.70 | 5.71 | 5.71 (+0.00) |
Category | 2023 Raw | 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) | 2024 Raw | 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ) | 2024 Blended (Δ) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Points Scored per Game (PPG): | 27.82 | 30.80 (+2.98) | 25.08 | 22.55 (-2.53) | 22.55 (+0.00) |
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): | 392.73 | 363.24 (-29.49) | 371.50 | 357.63 (-13.87) | 357.63 (+0.00) |
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): | 5.60 | 5.43 (-0.17) | 5.72 | 5.65 (-0.07) | 5.65 (+0.00) |
Category | 2023 Raw | 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) | 2024 Raw | 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ) | 2024 Blended (Δ) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): | 28.73 | 27.95 (-0.77) | 26.50 | 27.92 (+1.42) | 27.92 (+0.00) |
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): | 432.00 | 457.19 (+25.19) | 408.92 | 439.69 (+30.77) | 439.69 (+0.00) |
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): | 5.73 | 5.82 (+0.09) | 6.12 | 6.61 (+0.49) | 6.61 (+0.00) |
Category | Measure(s) |
---|---|
Home Field Advantage | +2.8 |
Date | Opponent | BizMa Points For | BizMa Points Against | BizMa Spread | BizMa O/U | BizMa Win % | Real Outcome | Team Record |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-08-31 | @Alabama | 13.50 | 44.12 | +30.62 | 57.62 | 0.90% | L 0-63 | 0-1 |
2024-09-07 | Eastern Kentucky | Non-FBS Opponent | W 31-0 | 1-1 | ||||
2024-09-14 | @Middle Tennessee | 31.18 | 17.32 | -13.85 | 48.50 | 72.22% | W 49-21 | 2-1 |
2024-09-21 | Toledo | 26.05 | 27.09 | +1.05 | 53.14 | 48.32% | W 26-21 | 3-1 |
2024-09-28 | @Boston College | 21.73 | 33.14 | +11.41 | 54.88 | 31.70% | L 20-21 | 3-2 |
2024-10-11 | UTEP | 35.19 | 19.06 | -16.13 | 54.25 | 75.87% | W 44-17 | 4-2 |
2024-10-16 | @Sam Houston | 18.00 | 21.88 | +3.89 | 39.88 | 43.77% | W 31-14 | 5-2 |
2024-10-30 | Kennesaw State | 34.02 | 19.23 | -14.80 | 53.25 | 73.73% | W 31-14 | 6-2 |
2024-11-09 | @New Mexico State | 35.40 | 22.52 | -12.87 | 57.92 | 70.65% | W 41-28 | 7-2 |
2024-11-16 | Louisiana Tech | 22.61 | 16.18 | -6.43 | 38.79 | 60.31% | L 7-12 | 7-3 |
2024-11-23 | @Liberty | 20.23 | 25.33 | +5.10 | 45.55 | 41.82% | L 21-38 | 7-4 |
2024-11-30 | Jacksonville State | 27.75 | 36.25 | +8.50 | 64.01 | 36.37% | W 19-17 | 8-4 |
2024-12-07 | @Jacksonville State | 24.95 | 36.25 | +11.30 | 61.21 | 31.88% | L 12-52 | 8-5 |
Postseason | ||||||||
2024-12-18 | @James Madison | 19.93 | 36.18 | +16.25 | 56.11 | 23.94% | L 17-27 | 8-6 |
Record | Probability | Ceiling | Floor |
---|---|---|---|
8-6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 100.00% |
Record | Probability |
---|---|
1-13 | 0.01% |
2-12 | 0.14% |
3-11 | 0.97% |
4-10 | 3.91% |
5-9 | 10.66% |
6-8 | 19.42% |
7-7 | 24.27% |
8-6 | 20.99% |
9-5 | 12.79% |
10-4 | 5.29% |
11-3 | 1.34% |
12-2 | 0.22% |
13-1 | 0.01% |