BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Western Kentucky 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Western Kentucky 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
27.82 |
30.80 (+2.98) |
27.80 |
22.55 (-5.25) |
25.64 (+3.10) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
392.73 |
363.24 (-29.49) |
385.80 |
337.33 (-48.47) |
347.04 (+9.72) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.60 |
5.43 (-0.17) |
5.63 |
5.19 (-0.44) |
5.28 (+0.09) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
28.73 |
27.95 (-0.77) |
28.60 |
32.11 (+3.51) |
30.55 (-1.56) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
432.00 |
457.19 (+25.19) |
410.80 |
443.18 (+32.38) |
448.43 (+5.25) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.73 |
5.82 (+0.09) |
6.51 |
6.72 (+0.21) |
6.38 (-0.34) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.8 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
@Alabama |
14.55 |
55.08 |
+40.53 |
69.63 |
0.10% |
L 0-63 |
0-1 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Eastern Kentucky |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 31-0 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@Middle Tennessee |
38.05 |
26.07 |
-11.98 |
64.12 |
69.22% |
W 49-21 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-21 |
Toledo |
32.60 |
36.95 |
+4.34 |
69.55 |
43.03% |
W 26-21 |
3-1 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@Boston College |
24.56 |
34.04 |
+9.48 |
58.60 |
34.79% |
L 20-21 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-11 |
UTEP |
36.85 |
18.91 |
-17.94 |
55.76 |
78.78% |
W 44-17 |
4-2 |
| 2024-10-16 |
@Sam Houston |
26.23 |
33.83 |
+7.60 |
60.06 |
37.80% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-30 |
Kennesaw State |
42.25 |
17.90 |
-24.36 |
60.15 |
89.07% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
@New Mexico State |
33.23 |
20.90 |
-12.33 |
54.12 |
69.78% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
Louisiana Tech |
34.41 |
22.96 |
-11.44 |
57.37 |
68.35% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
@Liberty |
23.83 |
34.67 |
+10.84 |
58.50 |
32.62% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
Jacksonville State |
35.18 |
37.40 |
+2.22 |
72.58 |
46.44% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 4-8 |
0.24% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 5-7 |
3.47% |
0.24% |
99.76% |
| 6-6 |
16.06% |
3.72% |
96.28% |
| 7-5 |
32.16% |
19.78% |
80.22% |
| 8-4 |
31.46% |
51.94% |
48.07% |
| 9-3 |
14.22% |
83.39% |
16.61% |
| 10-2 |
2.39% |
97.61% |
2.39% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.00% |
| 2-10 |
0.11% |
| 3-9 |
1.13% |
| 4-8 |
5.04% |
| 5-7 |
14.09% |
| 6-6 |
24.09% |
| 7-5 |
26.49% |
| 8-4 |
18.86% |
| 9-3 |
8.08% |
| 10-2 |
1.90% |
| 11-1 |
0.20% |