BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
Western Kentucky 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
Western Kentucky 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
27.82 |
30.80 (+2.98) |
27.67 |
25.06 (-2.61) |
25.06 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
392.73 |
363.24 (-29.49) |
381.67 |
365.04 (-16.63) |
365.04 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.60 |
5.43 (-0.17) |
5.94 |
5.91 (-0.03) |
5.91 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
28.73 |
27.95 (-0.77) |
23.44 |
27.22 (+3.78) |
27.22 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
432.00 |
457.19 (+25.19) |
384.56 |
440.19 (+55.63) |
440.19 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.73 |
5.82 (+0.09) |
5.84 |
6.59 (+0.75) |
6.59 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.8 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
@Alabama |
14.66 |
49.58 |
+34.92 |
64.24 |
0.10% |
L 0-63 |
0-1 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Eastern Kentucky |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 31-0 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@Middle Tennessee |
32.75 |
15.63 |
-17.12 |
48.38 |
77.46% |
W 49-21 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-21 |
Toledo |
28.40 |
30.14 |
+1.75 |
58.54 |
47.20% |
W 26-21 |
3-1 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@Boston College |
25.62 |
30.46 |
+4.84 |
56.08 |
42.23% |
L 20-21 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-11 |
UTEP |
36.38 |
18.24 |
-18.14 |
54.63 |
79.10% |
W 44-17 |
4-2 |
| 2024-10-16 |
@Sam Houston |
22.76 |
23.76 |
+1.00 |
46.52 |
48.39% |
W 31-14 |
5-2 |
| 2024-10-30 |
Kennesaw State |
37.20 |
19.22 |
-17.98 |
56.42 |
78.84% |
W 31-14 |
6-2 |
| 2024-11-09 |
@New Mexico State |
37.66 |
19.44 |
-18.22 |
57.10 |
79.22% |
W 41-28 |
7-2 |
| 2024-11-16 |
Louisiana Tech |
25.27 |
15.00 |
-10.27 |
40.27 |
66.47% |
L 7-12 |
7-3 |
| 2024-11-23 |
@Liberty |
23.85 |
22.22 |
-1.62 |
46.07 |
52.61% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
Jacksonville State |
35.47 |
36.50 |
+1.03 |
71.96 |
48.34% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 7-5 |
24.50% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 8-4 |
50.14% |
24.50% |
75.50% |
| 9-3 |
25.36% |
74.64% |
25.36% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.01% |
| 2-10 |
0.05% |
| 3-9 |
0.52% |
| 4-8 |
2.75% |
| 5-7 |
8.81% |
| 6-6 |
18.87% |
| 7-5 |
26.11% |
| 8-4 |
23.96% |
| 9-3 |
13.74% |
| 10-2 |
4.54% |
| 11-1 |
0.65% |